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Friday, March 21, 2014

Serena and Roger: 17 And Counting

Roger Federer has accomplished just about everything during his illustrious 16-year professional career. The Swiss maestro has won 17 grand slam titles, 78 ATP titles, and an Olympic gold medal, which he won with countrymen Stanislas Wawrinka at the 2008 Beijing Olympics. In addition, Federer holds several Open Era records including weeks at world No. 1 (302), reaching every Grand Slam final at least five times, and appearing in 10 straight grand slam finals, 24 overall. As one of seven men in history to complete the career Grand Slam, Roger Federer is arguably the greatest male tennis player of all-time. For a man that had won more grand slams titles than any player in history, I wonder, “How does Roger Federer stay motivated now that he is the one holding the record?” In this blog, I will be discussing Federer’s chances of winning more grand slam titles by analyzing his recent form.  

 

Roger Federer
Grand Slam Titles
Australian Open: 4 Singles
French Open: 1 Singles
Wimbledon: 7 Singles
U.S. Open: 5 Singles

Olympic Gold Medals: 1 Doubles
Career Prize Money: $80,748,177 (as of 3/17/14)

After Federer won his seventh Wimbledon in 2012, there was a noticeable decline in his game. For the first time in career, Federer began to look his age. The areas of Federer’s game that saw the biggest decline were his movement, serve, and forehand. During his matches, Federer appeared to be a step slower than usual. When pulled out wide to the forehand side, Federer was either unable to get to the ball, or gave opponents a weak reply. Additionally, Federer’s serve, which was known for it’s pinpoint accuracy, was now the source of uncharacteristic unforced errors. As a result of the decline in Federer’s game, questions about retirement began to seep its way into his press conferences.              

The 2013 season was definitely a year to forget for Roger Federer. For the first time since 2003, he failed to reach a grand slam final. Moreover, Federer’s record 36 consecutive Grand Slam quarterfinal streak was broken following a shocking second-round loss to Sergiy Stakhovsky. In the 19 tournaments Federer played throughout the year, he managed to win only one title, the pre-Wimbledon tune-up in Halle. Federer would finish 2013 ranked No. 6 in the world, his lowest year-end ranking in 11 years.

At the conclusion of a disastrous season, I had two questions regarding Roger Federer game: “Is the decline in his play due to his age, and can he turn it around in 2014?” In the offseason, Federer made several drastic changes regarding his game. The first change Federer made was the type of racquet he used. Federer for many years used a racquet that was far smaller than most of the players on tour at 90 square inches. The switch to a racquet with a larger racquet head (98 sq. inches) will provide Federer with a larger sweet spot, and added power to his shots. Conversely, switching to a different frame requires a fair amount of time to adjust, and could result in even more inconsistent play.

A perfect example of someone who struggled following a racquet change was world No. 2 Novak Djokovic. It took the Serb almost a year to become comfortable with the change from a Wilson racquet to a Head frame. Federer began playing with a different frame following his early Wimbledon loss; however, he quickly went back to the smaller frame because of how uncomfortable he felt. Making a racquet change in the brief offseason is a decision Federer believes is necessary in order to continue playing high-level tennis. I believe a tennis racquet is like a spouse. You must know it, understand it, and trust it, or else the relationship is not going to last.

The second change Roger Federer made was a coaching change. In the offseason, Federer hired tennis legend Stefan Edberg. With coach Severin Luthi, the Swiss Davis Cup captain, still at the helm, Federer hired Edberg part-time to offer insight on ways to improve Federer’s game. One area the six-time major champion Edberg can definitely help Federer is the serve-and-volley. Edberg is arguably the best serve-and-volley player in history. Advising Federer to establish a better relationship with the net would be wise strategically because Federer possesses excellent volleying skills. In addition, with today’s players being so strong from the baseline, the serve-and-volley will allow Federer to end points quicker, thus preserving his body from the wear-and-tear of prolonged rallies. Roger Federer has racked up a lot of miles on his body during his 16-year professional career. The addition of the serve-and-volley to his game will allow Federer to remain competitive with the younger, and stronger baseliners on tour.

Another area Stefan Edberg can help Federer is the backhand groundstroke. Edberg, contrary to Federer, possessed a strong backhand, and a much weaker forehand. What Edberg can improve in Federer’s game is the consistency and the variety of his backhand. By helping Federer get more margin on the backhand groundstroke, Federer will be able to keep more balls in play, as well as use the backhand as a set up shot to run around and hit a forehand. The use of variety on the backhand will help Federer in multiple ways. Federer possesses one of the most beautiful one-handed backhand slices in history. Incorporating the slice frequently in rallies will allow Federer to transition to the net, while offering a change of pace shot that can be used offensively or defensively. Initially, I was uncertain about how much Stefan Edberg could actually offer Roger Federer. However, after analyzing the weaknesses in Federer’s game, I realized that Stefan Edberg could be a great coach for Federer. The partnership is slated to continue through the 2014 season. I look forward to seeing in the coming months the effect Edberg has on Federer’s game.

Based on what I have seen from Roger Federer in 2014, reporters should begin using a different “r” word during his press conferences, resurgence. Off to his best start since the 2012 season, Federer is 19-3 this year, with a 4-2 record against top 10 opponents. After falling to No. 8 in the world rankings following the Australian Open, Federer went on to win the ATP 500 event in Dubai, beating Djokovic in the final. Federer’s impressive run continued at the BNP Paribas Open last week, where he nearly captured his fifth title at the masters’ series event. As a result of his strong play, Federer has risen to No. 5, with no points to defend at this week’s Sony Open.

The resurgence in Federer’s game is primarily due to the improvement of his health. For a large portion of the 2013 season, Federer was nursing a back injury. The injury was sustained during last year’s BNP Paribas Open, and resulted in the future Hall-of-Famer taking a seven-week break in the spring. Federer detailed that he reinjured his back after Wimbledon, and it hampered him for the rest of the year. For a player like Federer, who has rarely dealt with prolonged injuries during his career, managing the back injury was a relatively new experience for the Swiss champion. The doubt that crept into Federer’s game last season has since been replaced by the confidence tennis fans are accustomed to from the all-time great.

The question is, “Can Federer win another major?” Similar to part one of the blog series, I strongly believe that Federer can win more grand slam titles. A better question to ask would be, “Which major gives Federer the best chance of capturing another Grand Slam title(s)?” Federer has the greatest opportunities at Wimbledon and the U.S. Open because both events are played on faster court surfaces, which are better suited for the Federer game. The Australian Open is definitely not out of the question either because Federer is still one of the best hard-court players in the world. However, the two factors that could prevent Federer from increasing his grand slam tally are further injury problems and a dwindling desire to win. If Federer can manage both of these factors, 20 career majors is certainly a possibility.

How many more majors do you think Roger Federer can win? Please let me know in the comments section below.

In my next blog, I will discuss the lack of a great rivalry on the WTA Tour.


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