Search This Blog

Thursday, March 6, 2014

Serena and Roger: 17 and Counting

Serena Williams and Roger Federer are arguably the best female and male tennis players to ever play the game. At 32, both Serena and Roger have accomplished just about everything during their illustrious careers. Each has won 17 grand slam titles, an Olympic gold medal, and amassed a combined $134,854,393 in prize money. As Serena and Roger approach the twilight of their careers, every tennis lover is wondering, “How do they stay motivated after such long careers;” and “How many more grand slam titles can Serena and Roger win?” In this two-part series, I will be discussing the prospects of Serena and Roger winning additional grand slams titles through analysis of their current form.
  
Serena Williams

Grand Slam Titles
Australian Open: 5 Singles, 4 Doubles
French Open: 2 Singles, 2 Doubles
Wimbledon: 5 Singles, 5 Doubles, 1 Mixed
U.S. Open: 5 Singles, 2 Doubles, 1 Mixed

Olympic Gold Medals: 4 (1 Singles, 3 Doubles)
Career Prize Money: $54,637,766 (as of 3/3/14)

Ever since Serena Williams returned from a life-threatening pulmonary embolism in 2011, she has been pretty much unstoppable. During this period, Serena has a win/loss record of 167-13 (92.7 win %), winning 21 singles titles including an Olympic gold medal and four grand slam titles, and has regained the number one ranking. Based on these results, one can argue that Serena is playing better now than when she won the “Serena Slam” back in 2002-2003.

There are two reasons why I believe Serena has been able to play at such a high level even at this stage in her career. The first is her dedication to fitness. Following her round of 16 loss at Wimbledon in 2011, Serena hired renowned fitness expert Mackie Shilstone, who has trained everyone from baseball legend Darryl Strawberry to Broadway sensation Jennifer Holiday. The benefits of this decision were immediate for Serena, as she went 18-1, winning titles in Stanford and Toronto, and making it to the U.S. Open final.

The second, and most likely cause for Serena’s impressive form over the past few seasons is due to what I consider “the best loss of her career.” Going into the 2012 French Open, Serena made it her mission to finally win the major that had eluded her for a decade. Serena was undefeated on clay coming into the tournament, winning titles in Charleston and Madrid. However, Serena’s first-round loss was one that shocked the tennis world. Never before had Serena lost in the opening round of a major. After the loss, most people, including myself, were thinking, “Can Serena win another major?”

Shortly after the French Open, Serena began training at the Mouratoglou Tennis Academy just outside of Paris. Still reeling from the loss, Serena would be assisted by the academy’s founder, Patrick Mouratoglou. A friendship that started as casual conversations while training soon became a partnership that sparked Serena’s return to the top of women’s tennis. When Serena stepped onto the hallowed lawns of Wimbledon, just three short weeks after her French Open loss, I noticed much more resolve in her game. During their time together, Mouratoglou has taught Serena patience, and how to win a point without having to hit through opponents. The change in Serena’s game at Wimbledon was only the beginning of her transformation into a more complete player. Serena ended 2012 with 2 grand slam titles, 2 Olympic gold medals, the season-ending WTA Championships, and losing just once after the French Open.

If Serena is to continue winning grand slam titles, there are two things to consider: her health, and her motivation. Throughout Serena’s career, she has been plagued with injuries that have sidelined her for long periods of time. As she plays well into her thirties, it will become increasingly difficult to stay healthy. Fortunately for Serena, her incredibly high fitness level in recent years has prevented her from missing any serious time on tour. However, several of the losses she sustained in the past two and a half years have been because of injury. For example, in the last three Australian Opens, which Serena has failed to advance past the quarterfinals, Serena was nursing ankle and back injuries. In order to continue winning grand slam titles, Serena must preserve her body as much as possible.

After having played the better part of two decades on the WTA Tour, and accomplishing as much as Serena has, I begin to wonder how much motivation does Serena have to continue competing? Serena has won the career grand slam twice; she has won every premier mandatory event on the WTA Tour; and is tied with her sister Venus for the most gold medals ever won by a tennis player. The only prize Serena is playing for at this point in her career is history. To put things into perspective, Serena is fourth in the Open-Era (sixth all-time), in grand slam titles. In order to pass Chris Evert and Martina Navratilova in major titles, Serena will need to win two majors; however, to pass Steffi Graf she will need to win six. With Serena committed to playing through the Rio Olympics in 2016, she will have 10 more chances to add to her historic grand slam tally. Despite my huge admiration for Serena Williams, I think it will be incredibly difficult for her to surpass Steffi Graf Open-Era record 22 major titles. Saying Serena retires after the next Olympics, she would have to win 60% of the majors she plays in. In her career, Serena has made 54 major appearances, winning 31.5% of them. Ever since Serena returned to the tour in 2011, she has had a renewed love for the game. In order for Serena to continue her ascent up the all-time grand slam titles list, she must retain the motivation that has help her achieve so much success on the WTA Tour.

Can Serena Williams win more grand slams titles? My answer is a resounding YES! Based on her current form, Serena is capable of winning on any surface. Serena has proven that even at this stage of her career she can make improvements to her game. However, as she continues to get older, Serena will have to manage her health to achieve optimum performance, as well as continue to play with the fiery passion that she is famous for. For the time being, Serena Williams’s motto should be 17 majors and counting.

How many more majors do you think Serena Williams can win? Please let me know in the comments section below.

In my next blog, I will discuss Roger Federer chances of winning additional titles.


Enjoyed this post? If you did, email it to a friend or share it on your social media page. I look forward to sharing my thoughts on tennis with you!

No comments:

Post a Comment