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Monday, August 31, 2015

U.S. Open Women’s Draw

First Quarter (Serena’s Quarter)
Projected Quarterfinal: (1) Serena Williams vs. (8) Karolina Pliskova
First Round Match to Watch: (29) Sloane Stephens vs. Coco Vandeweghe
Young American to Watch: (19) Madison Keys
Dark Horse(s): (12) Belinda Bencic; Sloane Stephens
Third Round Popcorn Match: Serena Williams vs. Sloane Stephens
Women’s Sleeper: (23) Venus Williams

Three Things to Consider:

  1. Can Serena Williams become the first woman since Steffi Graf in 1988 to complete the calendar year grand slam?
  2. Can Belinda Bencic sustain the form that helped her take out 4 Top 10 en-route to the Rogers Cup title in Toronto?
  3. Can Karolina Pliskova carry over her 2015 success at the WTA Tour events and make a deep run in New York?
Quarterfinal Prediction: Serena Williams vs. Venus Williams
Semifinalist: Serena Williams

Second Quarter (Ivanovic’s Quarter)
Projected Quarterfinal: (13) Ekaterina Makarova vs. (7) Ana Ivanovic
Beneficiary of Sharapova’s Withdrawal: (30) Svetlana Kuznetsova
First Round Popcorn Match: Ana Ivanovic vs. Dominika Cibulkova
Youngster to Watch: (17) Elina Svitolina
Huge Question Mark: (25) Eugiene Bouchard
Popcorn 3rd Round Match: Elina Svitolina vs. Ekaterina Makarova

Three Things to Consider:

  1. Who will benefit most from Maria Sharapova’s last minute withdrawal from the U.S. Open?
  2. Will Eugiene Bouchard turn around her horrific 2015 season with a deep run at Flushing Meadows?
  3. Can Ekaterina Makarova rekindle her to form that helped her reach the semifinals last year?
Quarterfinal Prediction: Elina Svitolina vs. Ana Ivanovic
Semifinalist: Elina Svitolina

Third Quarter (Wozniacki’s Quarter)
Projected Quarterfinal: (4) Caroline Wozniacki vs. (5) Petra Kvitova
Youngster to Watch: (32) Anna Karolina Schmiedlova
Huge Expectations: (9) Garbine Muguruza
First Round Upset Alert: (18) Andrea Petkovic vs. Caroline Garcia
Dark Horse: (22) Sam Stosur
Young American to Watch: Louisa Chirico

Three Things to Consider

  1. After a rough summer, can Caroline Wozniacki make another final in the Big Apple?
  2. How will Garbine Muguruza handle expectations after her Cinderella run to the Wimbledon final?
  3. Can Petra Kvitova finally make a deep run at the major she has struggled mightily in her career?
Quarterfinal Prediction: Caroline Wozniacki vs. Petra Kvitova
Semifinalist: Caroline Wozniacki

Fourth Quarter (Halep’s Quarter)
Projected Quarterfinal: (2) Simona Halep vs. (6) Lucie Safarova
Dark Horse: (20) Victoria Azarenka
Hard-Hitting First Round Match: Victoria Azarenka vs Lucie Hradecka
First Round Popcorn Match: (14) Timea Bacsinzky vs. Barbora Strycova
Third Round Popcorn Match: (11) Angelique Kerber vs. Victoria Azarenka

Three Things to Consider

  1. Can Simona Halep continue her success on hard courts and make her first U.S. Open final?
  2. Will Victoria Azarenka rekindle the form that helped her reach two U.S. Open finals? 
  3. Can Lucie Safarova continue her 2015 grand slam success in Flushing Meadows
Quarterfinal Prediction: Simona Halep vs. Victoria Azarenka
Semifinalist: Simona Halep

Semifinals
Serena Williams def. Elina Svitolina
Simona Halep def. Caroline Wozniacki

Final

Serena Williams def. Simona Halep

Monday, June 29, 2015

Wimbledon Ladies Draw: Quarter by Quarter

1st Quarter (Williams Quarter) 
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (1) Serena Williams vs. (7) Ana Ivanovic
  • 1st Round to Watch: (16) Venus Williams vs. Madison Brengle
  •  Sleeper: (30) Belinda Bencic
  • Popcorn Matches:
    • Serena vs. Venus Round of 16
    • Daniela Hantuchova vs. Dominika Cibulkova 1st Round
    • (23) Victoria Azarenka vs. Kirsten Flipkens 2nd Round
  • Dangerous Floater: Tsvetana Pironkova; Kirsten Flipkens
  • Quarterfinal Prediction: Serena Williams vs Victoria Azarenka
  • Semifinalist: Serena Williams
2nd Quarter (Sharapova Quarter)
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (4) Maria Sharapova vs. (6) Lucie Safarova
  • 1st Round to Watch: (27) Barbora Strycova vs. Sloane Stephens
  • Sleeper: (11)Karolina Pliskova
  • Americans to Watch: Coco Vandeweghe; Sloane Stephens
  • Popcorn 4th Round Match: Karolina Pliskova vs. Lucie Safarova
  • Quarterfinal Prediction: Maria Sharapova vs. Lucie Safarova
  • Semifinalist: Lucie Safarova
3rd Quarter (Halep Quarter)
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (3) Simona Halep vs. (5) Caroline Wozniacki
  • Sleepers: (18) Sabine Lisicki; (31) Camila Giorgi
  • Popcorn 3rd Round Matches:
    • Angelique Kerber vs. (20) Garbine Muguruza
    • Simona Halep vs. (26) Svetlana Kuznetsova
    • Caroline Wozniacki vs. Camila Giorgi
  • Question Mark(s):
    • Simona Halep: How will the recent coaching change impact the struggling Romanian
    • Caroline Wozniacki: Will the Dane recover from the back injury she suffered in Eastbourne just days before Wimbledon?
  • Dark Horse: Angelique Kerber
  • Quarterfinal Prediction: Angelique Kerber vs. Sabine Lisicki
  • Semifinalist: Angelique Kerber

 4th Quarter (Kvitova Quarter)
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (2) Petra Kvitova vs. (8) Ekaterina Makarova
  • Popcorn 3rd Round Match: (21) Madison Keys vs. (12) Eugenie Bouchard
  • Question Marks:
    • Eugenie Bouchard: Can the Canadian, who is having a rough season (8-13 record) defend the finalist points from last year?
    • Petra Kvitova: Can the Czech handle to pressure of being the defending champion
  • Sleeper: (13) Agnieszka Radwanska
  • 1st Round to Watch: Ana Konjuh vs. (25) Alize Cornet
  • Danger 1st Round Match: Agnieszka Radwanska vs. Lucie Hradecka
  • Quarterfinal Prediction: Madison Keys vs. Petra Kvitova
  • Semifinalist: Petra Kvitova

 Semifinals
Serena Williams def Lucie Safarova
Petra Kvitova def Angelique Kerber

Final

Serena Williams def Petra Kvitova

Friday, June 12, 2015

French Open Review

Serena Captures Number 20
Serena Williams proved that regardless of in sickness or in health, she can still come out the last woman standing. The world number one entered the 2015 French Open with questions regarding her elbow after was forced to pull out of the mandatory event in Rome a week and a half before the event. Throughout Roland Garros, it was evident that her elbow injury was still a concern given her increased number of double faults, and lower than average serve speed. However, the serving woes were the lesser of Serena Williams’ problems.

Beginning in the 2nd round, the world number one appeared to be affected by an illness. Frequent coughing, along with a more demonstrative demeanor were tell tale signs that Williams was not 100 percent. In 4 of her last 5 matches prior to the final, Williams dropped the opening set, on the verge of an earlier than expected exit. Given the quality of opponent in those matches (Azarenka, Stephens and Bacsinszky), Williams was still the favorite to come out the victor. Furthermore, as the world number one has proven time and time again, when there is a will, there is a way. Williams stepped up her game, and overcame great adversity, especially in her semifinal match against Bacsinszky, to get one step closer to her 20th major title.

Heading into the final, Williams was still hampered by the flu. However, nerves overtook the illness as the biggest influence of her game. Up 6-3 4-1 40-15, Williams in her own words “choked” the lead away. Before she knew it, Williams had dropped the second set and found herself down 2-love the in third. Clearly upset with herself, dropping a few f-bombs and other expletives along the way, the world number one went on a tear, winning 6 straight games to take the match. As Lucie Safarova mishandled the backhand to seal the match for Williams, the now three-time French Open champion threw her arms up in triumph, pumped that she conquered the tumultuous fortnight at Roland Garros. 

One can argue that this title run was the most impressive of Williams’ career. Why? The world number one faced a multitude of obstacles along the way: from a challenging early round draw, to overwhelming health concerns. However, Williams was able to handle the adversity and move one major closer to matching Steffi Graf’s seemingly untouchable 22 majors. The world number one has now won three consecutive majors (1 away from her 2nd Serena Slam), and is half way to a calendar year slam. Serena Williams has shown us time and time again that no matter how dire the circumstances; she can still win the match. The 2015 French Open provided a textbook example of this fact.    

Safarova’s Big Breakthrough
When I first watched Lucie Safarova play, I knew she had the potential to be a top player in women’s tennis. She possessed a potent lefty serve, a big forehand, and moved well. However, for a large part of the Czech’s career, she fluctuated between 20 and 30 in the world. Between 2005 ad 2013, Safarova made the second week of a major only ONCE (2007 French Open: 4th round)! It wasn't until 2014 that, Safarova began to demonstrate the potential that she possesses. The Czech made the second week at three of the four majors in 2014, highlighted by a semifinal run at the All-England Club. Safarova’s success last year proved that she is a potential dark horse to win a major.

When the draw was released for the 2015 French Open, the prospect of a deep run for Safarova looked grim. Her projected draw included Sabine Lisicki in the 3rd round, defending champion Maria Sharapova in the 4th round, Carla Suarez Navarro in the quarterfinals, and Simona Halep in the semifinals. However, the run Safarova put together during the fortnight was truly remarkable. In fact, she raced into her first grand slam final without dropping a set! The two victories that were most impressive were her wins over Sharapova and Ana Ivanovic.

Facing the defending champion in any event is no small feat, especially one who has made three consecutive finals at Roland Garros. Safarova’s Round of 16 match against Sharapova was an eye opener because of how often Safarova dictated play throughout the match. Even though the Czech has the advantage in movement, Sharapova’s clay-court prowess looked to be enough for the defending champ to clinch the match. But that was not the case. Safarova displayed a perfect balance of offense and defense to secure her first victory of Maria Sharapova since 2010.

In the semifinal against 2008 champ Ana Ivanovic, nerves were bound to play a major role in the outcome of the match. During the initial stages, Ivanovic better handled her nerves, racing out to a 4-1 lead. However, for the next set and a half, the tides had turned in favor of Safarova. The Czech relaxed and played the all-around tennis that got her to her 2nd career grand slam semifinal. Before tennis fans knew it, she was serving for a spot in her 1st grand slam final at 5-4 in the second. It was at this moment where I saw the transition from the old Lucie Safarova, to the new and improved version.  After holding several match points at 5-4, Ivanovic broke serve to level the set. The old Safarova would have let the match slip away. However, the improvements she has made in her game over the last year helped her quickly refocus, break serve and close out the match 7-5.

Many could argue that the old Safarova returned after she squandered the 2-love lead to Serena Williams in the final. I on the other hand couldn’t disagree more. As much as Serena Williams “choked” in the 2nd set of the match, Safarova was able recognize the opportunity and she took advantage. Being down such a large deficit in a major final against the best player of all-time is something very few players have clawed there way back from. Safarova nearly accomplished such a feat. As a result of making the final, Safarova cracked the Top 10 for the 1st time, achieving a career-high ranking of No. 7. At 28 years of age, Lucie Safarova is finally reaching the potential I knew she was capable of.       

Shake Up at the Top

The 2015 French Open brought about big changes at the top of the women’s game. The fortnight resulted in players reaching highs, as well as players stumbling in the rankings. Here are the ranking winners and losers of the French Open.

Winners
  • Petra Kvitova: as a result of early losses from both Simona Halep (2nd Round) and Maria Sharapova (4th Round), the 25-year-old leapfrogged to the number two ranking, matching her career-high. As the defending Wimbledon champion, being the number two seed would make her title defense a little simpler because she would not have to face Serena Williams until the final. Timea Bacsinszky ousted Kvitova in the 4th Round of the French Open.  
  • Lucie Safarova: cracked the Top 10 for the first time, landing at No. 7. Safarova shattered her previous career-high of No. 11 as a result of making her 1st grand slam final. Her strong result in Paris should secure the 28-year-old a Top 8 seed at the All-England Club in a few weeks.  
  • Timea Bacsinszky: just two years ago, Bacsinszky was working at a hotel. Now, she is a grand slam semifinalist, sitting at a career-high of No. 15. The Swiss number one is having a breakout season: she won her 1st singles title (Acapulco); won 15 consecutive matches; made her 1st grand slam semifinal (1st time in the 2nd week of a major); and broke into the Top 20. Bacsinszky, who is grateful to even be on the court, is playing the best tennis of her career. Her passion and love of the game is truly a pleasure to watch.
  •  Elina Svitolina: became the highest ranked Ukrainian ever as a result of her quarterfinal showing at Roland Garros. Svitolina surpassed Alona Bonarenko’s record of No. 19 when she landed at No. 17 in Monday’s rankings. The 20-year-old has been a youngster to watch over the past few seasons. The rise of the rankings for Svitolina has been steady; however, the Ukrainian has made huge strides in 2015. For example, she pushed Serena Williams in a tight 3-set match at the Australian Open, won her 3rd career singles title in Marrakech and now made he 1st grand slam quarterfinal. Following her strong result at the French Open, the former top junior is making her way up the ranks of the women’s game.

Losers
  • Maria Sharapova: following her earliest exit at the French Open since 2010, the Russian falls from No. 2 to No. 4 in the rankings. “Claypova,” as she has become known by given her recent success on the surface, made three consecutive finals at Roland Garros, winning 2 of them. Over the past 5 years, Sharapova has been one of, if not the most consistent players on clay. In fact, since 2010, 10 of Sharapova’s 14 titles have come on the red dirt. Can the Russian rebound on what has now become her worst surface, the grass? Given her champion mentality, all signs indicate yes. 
  • Eugenie Bouchard: the struggles continued for the breakout star of 2014 at Roland Garros. The Canadian lost in the opening round to WTA rising star Kristina Mladenovic 6-4 6-4. The loss was Bouchard’s eighth loss in 9 matches. To add insult to injury, the 1st round loss resulted in Bouchard falling from No. 6 to No. 11 in the rankings. The 21-year-old is defending finalist points from Wimbledon last year. If Bouchard cannot rediscover the game that helped her break into the Top 5 in the world, I expected her ranking to continue its rapid descent.

Saturday, May 23, 2015

French Open Women’s Draw: Quarter by Quarter

First Quarter (Williams Quarter)
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (1) Serena Williams vs. (5) Caroline Wozniacki
  • 1st Round Match to Watch: (15) Venus Williams vs. Sloane Stephens
  • Marque 3rd Round Match: Serena Williams vs (27) Victoria Azarenka
  • Upset Alert: Caroline Wozniacki vs. Karin Knapp
  • Injury Question Marks: (10) Andrea Petkovic; (25) Jelena Jankovic
  • Quarterfinal Prediction: Serena Williams vs. (17) Sara Errani

Three Questions to Consider:
  1. Can Serena overcome a very difficult draw to capture her 3rd French Open Title?
  2. Can Venus make the second week in consecutive grand slam tournaments?
  3. Can Wozniacki make the Round of 16 at Roland Garros for the 1st time since 2010?

Semifinalist: Williams

Second Quarter (Kvitova Quarter)
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (4) Petra Kvitova vs. (6) Eugiene Bouchard
  • Major Question Mark: Eugiene Bouchard
  • Dark Horses: (23) Svetlana Kuznetsova; (18) Timea Bacsinszky
  • Youngster Match: Tereza Smitkova vs. Taylor Townsend
  • 1st Round Match to Watch: (16) Madison Keys vs. Varvara Lepchenko
  •  Upset Alert: Eugiene Bouchard vs. Kristina Mladenovic
  • Quarterfinal Prediction: Petra Kvitova vs. Svetlana Kuznetsova

Three Questions to Consider:
  1. Can Eugiene Bouchard overcome a rough spring to make another deep run in Paris?
  2. Can Petra Kvitova replicate her dominant performance in Madrid to capture her first major outside of Wimbledon?
  3. Can Madison Keys translate her powerful game to the slow red clay of the Terre Battue? 

Semifinalist: Kvitova

Third Quarter (Halep Quarter)
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (3) Simona Halep vs. (7) Ana Ivanovic
  • Upset Alert: Ana Ivanovic vs. Yaroslava Shvedova
  • Players to Watch: (31) Caroline Garcia; (19) Elina Svitolina
  • Question Mark: (14) Agnieszka Radwanska
  • American on the Rise: Louisa Chirico
  • Quarterfinal Prediction:  Simona Halep vs. (9) Ekaterina Makarova

Three Questions to Consider:
  1. How will Simona Halep respond to the pressure of having to defend finalist points from 2014?
  2. Can Ana Ivanovic avoid being ousted in the 1st round of consecutive majors?
  3. Can Ekaterina Makarova go deep for the third consecutive major? 

Semifinalist: Halep

Fourth Quarter (Sharapova Quarter)
  • Projected Quarterfinal: (2) Maria Sharapova vs. (8) Carla Suarez Navarro
  • Dangerous 1st Round Match: Maria Sharapova vs. Kaia Kanepi
  • Marque 3rd Round Match: Maria Sharapova vs. (26)Sam Stosur
  • Players to Watch: (21) Garbine Muguruza; (13) Lucie Safarova
  • Poised for a Breakthrough: Carla Suarez Navarro
  • Quarterfinal Prediction: Maria Sharapova vs. Carla Suarez Navarro

Three Questions to Consider:
  1.  Can Maria Sharapova win her 3rd French Open Title in four years?
  2. Can Carla Suarez Navarro continue her successful 2015 campaign by making a deep run at Roland Garros?
  3.  How will Garbine Muguruza, the 2014 French Open cinderella story, fare in this year’s edition of the clay court major? 
Semifinalist: Sharapova

Semifinals
Serena Williams def Petra Kvitova
Maria Sharapova def Simona Halep

Final

Serena Williams def Maria Sharapova